1新能源电力系统全国重点实验室(华北电力大学),北京市102206;2华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院,北京市102206;3华北电力大学国家能源发展战略研究院,北京市102206
为克服产业风险传播对资源池容量的持续冲击,提升负荷型虚拟电厂商业化运行的长期稳定性,文中从系统韧性视角出发,提出一种考虑容量稳定性约束的资源池结构优化框架。首先,构建生产-用电耦合网络,并引入易感—感染—恢复—易感(SIRS)模型模拟风险在资源网络中的传播过程,刻画经济扰动对资源池容量的影响。在此基础上,引入容量稳定性约束,构建资源池结构优化模型。算例结果表明,优化后的资源池在典型冲击下的容量波动幅度降低约30%,收益提升约2.8%,并在不同传染系数条件下展现出稳定性和适应性。进一步分析表明,所引入的约束能够通过改善资源行业分布提升容量稳定性。研究结果为负荷型虚拟电厂由“可聚合”向“可持续”运营转型提供了理论支撑。
国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目(52507092)。
王鹏(1973—),男,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向:能源电力经济、电力市场化改革。E-mail:wangpeng@ncepu.edu.cn
孙耐(2000—),女,博士研究生,主要研究方向:能源经济、需求响应。E-mail:120242101143@ncepu.edu.cn
曹雨洁(1995—),女,通信作者,博士,主要研究方向:能源经济、需求响应。E-mail:yujiecao@ncepu.edu.cn
1State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources (North China Electric Power University), Beijing 102206, China;2School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China;3National Institute of Energy Development Strategy, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
To overcome the continuous impact of industrial risk propagation on the resource pool capacity and enhance the long-term stability of commercial operation of load-type virtual power plants, this paper proposes a structural optimization framework for resource pools considering capacity stability constraints from the perspective of system resilience. A production-electricity coupled network is firstly constructed, and a susceptible-infectious-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) model is introduced to simulate the risk propagation process within the resource network, thereby characterizing the impacts of economic disturbances on the resource pool capacity. On this basis, capacity stability constraints are introduced to construct structural optimization model for resource pools. Case study results show that the capacity fluctuation amplitude of the optimized resource pools under typical impacts decreases by about 30%, and the income increases by about 2.8%, while maintaining stability and adaptability under varying infection coefficient conditions. Further analysis indicates that the introduced constraints can enhance the capacity stability through improving the distribution of resource industries. The research results provide theoretical support for the transition of load-type virtual power plants from being merely “aggregatable” to achieving “sustainable” operation.
| [1] | 王鹏,孙耐,曹雨洁,等.考虑产业风险传播的虚拟电厂资源池容量稳定性优化方法[J].电力系统自动化,2026,50(12):65-74. WANG Peng, SUN Nai, CAO Yujie, et al. Capacity Stability Optimization Method for Resource Pools of Virtual Power Plant Considering Industrial Risk Propagation[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2026, 50(12):65-74. |